【New Delhi, I】Crude Oil to Remain Below $70 Due to Demand-Supply Imbalance

Editor’s Note

This article outlines MK Wealth Management’s forecast for global crude oil prices, predicting short-term strength but a long-term range of $68-70 per barrel.

भारत
Short-term Gains, Long-term Range

Global crude oil prices may show slight strength in the short term but will remain in the range of $68-70 per barrel in the long term. This prediction has been made in the latest report by MK Wealth Management.

Fundamental Market Weakness

Signals from fundamental market principles indicate that consumers are cautious due to the sluggish pace of the global economy. Despite OPEC+ production restrictions, Brent crude has been stuck in the $60-65 range for a year. The gap between declining demand and increasing supply is keeping prices suppressed.

Demand Lags Behind Production

Forecasts indicate that demand is lagging behind production growth. Prolonged low prices have reduced investment in the energy sector. Major companies are focusing on strengthening cash reserves and balance sheets. The resumption of production from Venezuela and Iran is benefiting Asia, particularly China.

Geopolitical Uncertainty and Analyst View

Nevertheless, geopolitical changes are raising questions about supply continuity. Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research at MK Wealth, says:

“Political events will provide short-term support, but fundamental weakness will dominate.”

He advised energy companies to focus on capital discipline and efficiency. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global inventories will increase until 2026, with the average Brent price remaining at $55.

Implications for Importing Nations

This is a relief for importing countries like India, as it will help control inflation. Investors should keep an eye on efficient companies.

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⏰ Published on: February 04, 2026