【Surat, Gujar】US Tariffs Threaten Millions of Livelihoods, Could ‘Diamond City’ Face a Wave of Unemployment?

Editor’s Note

The global diamond trade faces new pressures as U.S. tariff policies ripple through supply chains. This report examines the human and economic impact on Surat, India—a hub that polishes over 90% of the world’s diamonds—where livelihoods now hang in the balance.

Tariff War Impacts Diamond Hub

Surat, India, known as the world’s “Diamond City,” has been overshadowed by the tariff policies of the US Trump administration. In late August this year, the Trump administration imposed a 50% tariff on India, the highest tariff rate globally at the time. Now, the city’s large and small-to-medium enterprises, employing 1 million workers, face the risk of unemployment, raising serious concerns.
Surat, a city of 6 million people in Gujarat, western India, is known as the world’s “Diamond City,” processing 90% of the world’s diamonds. Rough diamonds from Africa and other countries are cut and polished here before being exported worldwide. The United States is the largest export destination, accounting for 30% of the total volume.

“Once the tariff was raised to 50%, all these benefits disappeared, so the impact is huge. This is something that can only be decided through inter-governmental negotiations, so there’s nothing we can do,” said Shri Govindbhai Dholakia, President of the Surat Diamond Association.

On August 27, the Trump administration imposed a 25% tariff on India as a “punishment” for India’s reciprocal 25% tariff. India imports large quantities of crude oil from Russia, which continues its invasion of Ukraine.

如果50%的高关税继续实施,整个行业将有10%到15%的工人失业。(图取自网络)
如果50%的高关税继续实施,整个行业将有10%到15%的工人失业。(图取自网络)
Employing About One Million People

In the bustling city center, cars, motorcycles, and auto-rickshows honk incessantly on narrow streets lined with diamond polishing and jewelry factories. In alley markets, vendors display diamonds on small tables. The diamond and jewelry industry is a vital local sector, employing approximately one million people.
Since the COVID-19 pandemic, diamond demand has plummeted, and prices have fallen. Furthermore, due to economic sanctions following the war in Ukraine, Russian rough diamonds now have to be imported via Dubai and other channels, leading to increased costs.
Additionally, the world’s highest tariff of 50% has also dealt a heavy blow to Russia, causing exports to the US to stagnate. The association, with about 6,000 member companies, fears this will undoubtedly be a major blow, especially for small factories.

Expanding Business to Survive
None

As the diamond industry faces turbulent times, including weak demand, falling prices, and a ban on importing rough diamonds from Russia, an increasing number of companies are expanding their diamond businesses from “single operations” to manufacturing jewelry such as rings and necklaces.

“If the high 50% tariff continues, 10% to 15% of workers across the entire industry will lose their jobs,” said Hasmukh Kakadiya, owner of Kakadiam, a major importer of goods.

At Kakadiya’s headquarters, about 2,700 employees work in 24-hour shifts, starting at 8 AM and ending at 8 PM. Every process takes place within a large building, and employees undergo facial recognition checks at the entrance before entering the work area.

“The difficulty in diamond processing lies in how to cut it thinner while maintaining its weight. Mastering this technique takes 7 to 10 years, and this directly affects the diamond’s price,” said Anil Roy, 35, who runs a small company with about 30 employees.
“Due to rising gold prices, more companies are starting to use lab-grown diamonds, which cost about one-tenth of natural diamonds, to lower the overall price of jewelry. The polishing process for natural and lab-grown diamonds is the same, so some companies are mitigating the tariff’s impact on employment by shifting workers from natural diamond processing to lab-grown diamond processing,” said Jayanti Savaria, Gujarat Director of the Gem & Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC).
None

The Trump administration’s “America First” policy and the Indian Modi government’s “Make in India” policy aim to promote manufacturing development. However, cooperation between the two major powers has stalled as their flagship policies clash.

Full article: View original |
⏰ Published on: December 15, 2025