【Paris, Franc】Experts Predict a Sad Fate for the ‘Crown Jewels’ Stolen from the Louvre

Editor’s Note

This article examines the likely fate of the stolen Napoleonic jewels from the Louvre, contrasting the sensational “Arsène Lupin” style of the heist with the grim reality experts predict: the dismantling and dispersal of the treasures for the illicit art market.

Le collier et les boucles d’oreilles de la parure d’émeraudes de l’impératrice Marie-Louise, exposés à la galerie d’Apollon le 14 janvier 2020 au musée du Louvre à Paris, l’un des joyaux dérobés le 19 octobre 2025 (Photo : STEPHANE DE SAKUTIN / AFP).
No ‘James Bond Villain’

While the investigation is in full swing to find the burglars of the Louvre and their enormous loot, the international press has interviewed numerous experts from the art market and its criminals. Most expect the jewels to be dismantled, their settings melted down and sold by weight, and their stones recut and dispersed.

The international press enjoys citing Arsène Lupin to evoke the spectacular theft, in broad daylight and timed at seven minutes, of “priceless” Napoleonic jewels on Sunday at the Louvre Museum. A burglary “of the most audacious,” motivated – who knows? – by a thirst for “international notoriety” and destined for the obligatory “Hollywood treatment,” observes The Guardian.

A Prosaic Crime

However, experts observing trends in international art crime see this heist “as something more prosaic: the latest in a series of break-ins focusing more on the material value of the stones or precious metals than on the importance of the objects,” continuing “a trend that has emerged over the past decade in Germany, the UK, and the United States,” writes the newspaper.

“The Louvre burglary is not really art crime,”

confirms Vernon Rapley, former head of London’s police art squad, to the New York Times. It would rather be a very vulgar “theft of goods.”

While in the 20th century “museum security teams were generally faced with the threat of art masterpiece thieves, Sunday’s Louvre heist is the most publicized example to date of the trend of museum burglaries” aimed only at getting their hands on “precious stones or metals,” judges the newspaper.

It is therefore very likely that

“the thieves, as often happens in this type of theft, will dismantle the jewelry, melt down the precious metals, recut the stones to make them less traceable, and sell them on the gray or black market, likely generating tens of millions of euros,”

remarks Wired.

Unlikely Commissioned Theft

Some romantic souls want to believe the theft could have been commissioned by some fanatical collector of Napoleonic art, willing to spend millions of euros to wear in front of their mirror Eugénie’s tiara with 2,000 diamonds and Marie-Amélie’s sapphire parure. Or by some kind of

“evil mastermind, a James Bond movie villain, ready to recover these objects,”

ironizes James Ratcliffe, Director of Recoveries and Legal Counsel at Art Loss Register, a company that catalogs and searches for looted or stolen artworks, in the columns of ARTnews.

“History has taught us that there is no evil mastermind,”

he adds. It would just be a trivial case of “risk and reward.” According to him,

“the thieves were probably opportunists rather than specialists, encouraged by outdated security systems and a clear, high-value target.”

Race Against Time

Art detective Arthur Brand also calls the hypothesis of a commissioned theft “extremely unlikely.”

“No one would touch that. It’s being talked about worldwide and in all the newspapers. If you buy that and get caught, you end up in prison. You can’t show it to your friends and you can’t bequeath it to your children,”

he declares to the Guardian.

Everything therefore suggests that the jewels will be dismantled and

“the race against time to find them before they are destroyed has already begun,”

notes El País.

The French police

“know that if these thieves are not caught in the next twenty-four or forty-eight hours, these pieces will probably disappear,”

assures Chris Marinello, CEO of Art Recovery International, a company specializing in locating and recovering stolen artworks, to the BBC. Beyond that,

“they might catch the criminals, but they won’t recover the jewelry,”

which will have already been “dismantled and smuggled out of the country.”

Fencing the Gold

The thieves will not have an easy task, however, warns Robert Wittman, who runs a security consulting firm and helped create the FBI’s art crime team. And

“the crooks may not be ready to take on the challenge,”

he says.

“When I heard about the theft, I thought: ‘Wow, that’s really pro work. These guys are good,'”

he tells ARTnews.

“But the more we learn, the less convinced I am. They left behind a lot of forensic evidence, and that’s one of the fundamental rules of a criminal: don’t leave evidence.”

Mr. Wittman adds that

“the use of brute force and negligence”

shown by the burglars suggests they are

“better at heists than at business,”

emphasizing that

“the true talent in art theft is the sale, not the theft.”
Voler dans un musée est un jeu d’enfant : la preuve, ce journaliste l’a fait
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⏰ Published on: October 21, 2025