【USA】US Tariffs, Supreme Court Decision Imminent: Ten Critical Points Endangering the US Economy

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Editor’s Note

This article highlights a critical gap in recent economic analysis, pointing out that current optimistic projections rely on outdated data. Due to the US government shutdown, the latest official statistics only cover the third quarter, underscoring the need for caution when interpreting recent economic trends.

अमेरिकी टैरिफ, सुप्रीम कोर्ट का फैसला आने वाला है: वे दस महत्वपूर्ण बिंदु जो अमेरिकी अर्थव्यवस्था को खतरे में डाल रहे हैं।
1- Data Stuck in the Third Quarter

In reality, there are no solid figures to justify this optimism, as the latest official data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, which like all other government offices was closed from October 1 to November 12, only covers the third quarter. Therefore, this optimism is based on erroneous estimates.

2 – Rush to Import

Even in November, when the election-winning Trump announced double-digit tariff hikes…

“There is a scramble for orders from the United States among suppliers worldwide to deliver goods, fill warehouses, and avoid price increases.”

This had a positive impact on the economy. Then, problems began.

3 – Damage to Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises

First, well before August,

“The most damage was suffered by small importers, producers, and distributors, many of whom are outside national statistics.”

And then there are the retaliatory measures from affected countries, which began well before August, including cuts in purchases of specific US-made products, starting with famous alcoholic beverages like bourbon.

“For example, Jim Beam stopped producing bourbon whiskey at its factory in Clermont, Kentucky, and laid off employees.”
4 – Retaliation Against Made in USA Products

A KPMG survey reveals that

मारियो द्राघी:
“The popularity of US products is declining, rapidly.”
“In the first six months after Trump’s tariffs took effect, 60% of companies recorded a decline in foreign sales. For example, US wine exports fell by 9% in the second quarter of this year, with sharp declines in the European Union, Canada, Great Britain, and Japan, which together buy nearly 70% of these exports.”

According to KPMG, China, once a major buyer of US agricultural products, has now turned to other countries.

“Argentina and other suppliers, and total US soybean exports have fallen by 23% this year.”
5 – Compensation Proceedings

Major companies like Costco, Revlon, and Kawasaki Motors

“have filed lawsuits worth millions of dollars against the US government.”

The increase in customs duties has led to a massive rise in the cost of imported raw materials and components, destabilizing supply chains. This has resulted in heavy losses across all parts of the manufacturing sector. Hundreds of serious lawsuits have been filed against the government.

6 – Layoffs Already Began in January

John Deere, a company that imports steel and aluminum for its machinery, had already suffered a loss of $300 million in the first quarter of 2025 and laid off 200 of its employees. Hundreds of small and medium-sized businesses have made the same decision. In fact, the Bureau of Statistics immediately announced that in just a few months it had recorded

“layoffs of 33,000 employees.”

This has also increased due to uncertainty about government policies.

7 – The Excessive Cost of PIA
दवाओं की कीमतें: ट्रंप की रणनीति यूरोप के लिए क्यों महंगी साबित हो सकती है

On December 29, an impressive list of losses was published:

“Small businesses, women importers, have to pay about $25,000 more per month; from April to September, 236,000 of these importers paid on average over $150 more compared to 2024.”

Based on data provided by the Central Chamber of Commerce, in six months, companies with fewer than 50 employees paid an average of over $86,000 more and

“this burden will increase to $500 million in 2026.”

A very large number of establishments will close their businesses. The layoff figure has already exceeded 120. There is another big burden: the expansion of duties.

“For small imported packages, UPS is creating new expensive bureaucratic rules that include extremely complex customs forms. Due to this new commitment, UPS is struggling badly with the burden of pending customs work.”
8 – Damage to Consumers

Goldman Sachs revealed in one of its recent analyses that

“the new costs arising from customs duties: 18 percent are paid by foreign exporters, 22 percent by US companies, and 5 percent will be stolen. The remaining 55 percent is being paid by consumers and will continue to be paid.”

Prices have increased significantly. And inflation has also risen.

9 – Logistics System Crippled

Products are missing and many shelves remained empty during the year-end sale. For example, 90 percent of consumer electronics come from Asia, from where the vast supply chain of tools and essential components for US factories also comes. This supply has stopped in many states. It is noteworthy that

“Internet and IT giants…”
टेक्सास: ट्रंप का गढ़ ढह गया, चुनाव में हार और जनमत सर्वेक्षणों में भारी गिरावट।
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⏰ Published on: January 08, 2026