【Paris, Franc】LVMH: Weighed Down by Deteriorating Chinese Demand, LVMH Plunges on the Stock Market

Editor’s Note

This article discusses LVMH’s recent quarterly sales report, which fell short of market expectations. The performance highlights challenges in key markets and segments for the luxury sector.

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Luxury Giant Misses Expectations

The luxury leader reported disappointing sales on Monday evening, with figures for the first quarter falling short of expectations, particularly in its fashion and leather goods division. LVMH also suffered from deteriorating demand in China and, to a lesser extent, in the United States.

A Deterioration in Demand

For the period from January to the end of March, the luxury leader recorded revenues of 20.311 billion euros. This represents a 2% decline in reported sales and a 3% decline in comparable sales (with a +1% currency effect and a neutral scope effect). According to a Visible Alpha consensus cited by Reuters, analysts had expected a 2% increase in comparable revenues. This marks a sequential deterioration from the previous quarter, where the luxury group’s revenue had grown by 1% on a comparable basis.

“LVMH had a weaker start to the year, with all divisions posting sales below expectations. Performance was notably affected by a slowdown in Chinese purchases in Japan, uneven consumption trends in mainland China (strong Chinese New Year, followed by a slowdown), and weaker demand in the United States for cognac and beauty products,” summarizes Jie Zhang from the independent research firm AlphaValue.
“Fashion and Leather Goods” Disappoints

Much of the disappointment stems from the company’s largest division, “Fashion and Leather Goods.” In the first three months of the year, this division’s revenue fell by 5% on a comparable basis.

“We assume the contraction is mainly due to weaker demand in China after the Chinese New Year and a reduction in spending by Chinese tourists in Japan,” suggests Jie Zhang. This division suffered from a deterioration in demand from Chinese customers, whose spending has decreased due to growing macroeconomic uncertainties.

Among other divisions, “Perfumes and Cosmetics” also declined by 1% on a comparable basis. The “Watches and Jewelry” division was stable but marked a sequential slowdown after 3% comparable growth in the fourth quarter.

“The group stated that performance in the United States, both for fashion and leather goods and for watches and jewelry, was very consistent with the previous year,” continues the analyst.

In Selective Retailing (Sephora, airport sales), this division saw its sales contract by 1%, where the consensus was more optimistic (+5%), following a 7% increase at the end of 2024. Jie Zhang explains that Sephora’s slight deceleration in the US is linked to strong competition from Amazon and its aggressive pricing strategy.
“Wines and Spirits” recorded a 9% decline in comparable sales.

“The Champagne business is slightly down in a context of continued demand normalization. Moët & Chandon returns to the Formula 1 podium as the official champagne. Cognac is penalized by weaker demand in China and the United States. The portfolio of Provence rosé wines is off to a good start this year,” explained the world’s leading luxury group.

By region, the United States showed a 3% decline in comparable data, compared to 3% growth in the previous quarter.

“The group’s performance was mainly affected by unpredictable consumer behavior in China (Asia excluding Japan: -11%), the slowdown in beauty products and Cognac in the United States (-3%), and Japan (-1% compared to the previous year), which suffered from a high comparison base,” also notes Jie Zhang.
“Vigilant and Confident”
“In a disrupted geopolitical and economic context, LVMH remains both vigilant and confident at the start of the year,” stated the luxury leader on Monday evening.

However, risks related to tariffs announced by the US administration and then suspended for some by Donald Trump raise fears of a contraction in the luxury market this year. For LVMH, the United States contributed 24% of the luxury group’s revenue in the first three months. The company says it is prepared to overcome US tariffs.
AlphaValue recalls that the group stated it remained difficult to assess the impact of tariffs and that it continued to believe negotiations could lead to a favorable outcome.

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⏰ Published on: April 15, 2025