【China】Tariff Uncertainty and Geopolitical Turmoil Spark Collective Surge in Precious Metals! Nonferrous Metals ETF (159876) Soars 3.18%! Baiyin Nonferrous and Hunan Silver Both Hit Limit-Up!

Editor’s Note

The nonferrous metals sector kicked off the Year of the Horse with a robust rally, highlighted by strong ETF performance and notable capital inflows. This surge reflects growing market optimism and active positioning in the sector.

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Strong Opening on First Trading Day of the Year of the Horse

On the first trading day of the Year of the Horse (February 24), the nonferrous metals sector opened strong and surged significantly. The popular sector ETF—Nonferrous Metals ETF (159876)—saw its intraday price rise over 3.7% at its peak, closing up 3.18%. Notably, the ETF received a net subscription of 6 million units throughout the day, reflecting capital’s optimism about the sector’s future and active buying.

Constituent Stocks Performance

Among constituent stocks, Baiyin Nonferrous and Hunan Silver both hit the daily limit-up. Pangang Vanadium & Titanium and Shengtai Lithium Energy rose over 7%. Yongxing Special Materials, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Western Gold, and Xingye Silver Tin also saw substantial gains.

Market Drivers: Tariff and Geopolitical Uncertainties

According to comprehensive market views, the recent renewed strength in gold and silver is closely related to rising market risk aversion, primarily driven by two factors:
1. **Tariff Disturbances:** Trump’s 10% global tariffs took effect. After the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the Trump administration’s large-scale tariffs “overstepped authority” and abolished tariff authority, Trump immediately signed an executive order announcing a 10% import tariff on global goods starting February 24, and raised the rate to 15% on the 21st. The power struggle among U.S. leadership over tariff policy has increased dual uncertainties regarding U.S. policy and future economic trends.
2. **Geopolitical Factors:** The volatile U.S.-Iran situation. Current U.S.-Iran negotiations have made no substantive progress, and the U.S. continues to “mass troops” around Iran. Additionally, Israel has again launched airstrikes on Lebanon and is attempting to change the status quo in the West Bank.

Institutional Views
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“Geopolitical risks are expected to remain elevated, while the Fed’s easing cycle is anticipated to continue, putting pressure on real interest rates. Global gold demand is projected to exceed 5,000 tonnes in 2025, and gold prices may rise further driven by stronger investment flows and continued central bank purchases.”

*UBS Wealth Management*

“As the bull market in gold continues, optimism in the precious metals market may spill over into nonferrous metals, helping to extend the bull run in the nonferrous sector.”

*CITIC Securities*

“Entering 2026, as the market enters the second stage of the bull market—the earnings-driven rise phase—driven by ‘anti-involution’ and domestic demand expansion, the domestic reflation narrative is strengthening. The strong cyclical nature of nonferrous metals is expected to manifest, while financial attributes and industry trends will bring revaluation opportunities for the sector. The nonferrous metals sector is expected to see both earnings and valuation increases in 2026.”

*BOC Securities*

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ETF Overview

Huabao Nonferrous Metals ETF (159876) and its feeder funds (Class A: 017140, Class C: 017141) track a benchmark index that comprehensively covers industries such as copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, encompassing different cycles like precious metals (safe-haven), strategic metals (growth), and industrial metals (recovery). Full-category coverage allows for better capture of the sector’s beta performance. Additionally, this ETF is a margin trading and securities lending target, making it an efficient tool for one-click allocation to the nonferrous metals sector.

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⏰ Published on: February 24, 2026